Saidmark
the record · 2026 week 1
Mack Hollins
NE vs SEA · WR2
the number we published
37.5
locked 2026-09-10T00:01:07Z
actual
51.0
residual +13.5 · inside the printed interval
printed interval 11.9–62.3
41% chance he finishes over yards
model history

Walk-forward reconstructions, not a published record.

wkoppactualmodel
25.8CLE89.020.6
25.9ATL9.027.0
25.10TB106.024.6
25.11NYJ64.035.8
25.12CIN30.034.4
25.13NYG23.036.2
25.15BUF41.034.5
25.16BAL69.036.4
25.21DEN51.044.1
25.22SEA78.031.3

The number we published is the lock. It is never revised. Model history, when shown, is a walk-forward reconstruction — not a published record.

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