Saidmark
the record · 2026 week 1
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA vs NE · WR1
the number we published
66.5
locked 2026-09-10T00:01:07Z
actual
122.0
residual +55.5 · outside the printed interval
printed interval 28.5–103.6
43% chance he finishes over yards
model history

Walk-forward reconstructions, not a published record.

wkoppactualmodel
25.12TEN167.099.7
25.13MIN23.097.3
25.14ATL92.088.0
25.15IND113.091.7
25.16LA96.093.5
25.17CAR72.094.2
25.18SF84.077.4
25.20SF19.077.5
25.21LA153.080.7
25.22NE27.068.7

The number we published is the lock. It is never revised. Model history, when shown, is a walk-forward reconstruction — not a published record.

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