Saidmark
the record · 2026 week 1
Emanuel Wilson
SEA vs NE · RB
the number we published
7.4
locked 2026-09-10T00:01:07Z
actual
2.0
residual -5.4 · outside the printed interval
printed interval 3.0–12.0
46% chance he finishes over carries
model history

Walk-forward reconstructions, not a published record.

wkoppactualmodel
25.10PHI1.06.3
25.11NYG11.05.8
25.12MIN28.07.4
25.13DET4.09.1
25.14CHI3.08.4
25.15DEN2.07.0
25.16CHI14.06.1
25.17BAL3.07.1
25.18MIN18.06.7
25.19CHI1.08.3

The number we published is the lock. It is never revised. Model history, when shown, is a walk-forward reconstruction — not a published record.

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