Saidmark
the record · 2026 week 1
George Holani
SEA vs NE · RB
the number we published
3.6
locked 2026-09-10T00:01:07Z
actual
8.0
residual +4.4 · outside the printed interval
printed interval 1.0–7.0
37% chance he finishes over carries
model history

Walk-forward reconstructions, not a published record.

wkoppactualmodel
24.14ARI0.0
24.15GB3.00.0
25.3NO10.02.6
25.9WAS3.05.9
25.10ARI7.04.7
25.11LA2.04.7
25.21LA3.04.3
25.22NE2.03.9

The number we published is the lock. It is never revised. Model history, when shown, is a walk-forward reconstruction — not a published record.

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