Saidmark
the record · 2026 week 1
AJ Barner
SEA vs NE · TE
the number we published
22.9
locked 2026-09-10T00:01:07Z
actual
13.0
residual -9.9 · inside the printed interval
printed interval 7.3–38.2
41% chance he finishes over yards
model history

Walk-forward reconstructions, not a published record.

wkoppactualmodel
25.12TEN18.024.4
25.13MIN35.026.7
25.14ATL27.026.2
25.15IND27.030.6
25.16LA49.026.0
25.17CAR43.029.6
25.18SF14.033.6
25.20SF0.029.7
25.21LA13.023.1
25.22NE54.021.1

The number we published is the lock. It is never revised. Model history, when shown, is a walk-forward reconstruction — not a published record.

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