Saidmark
the record · 2026 week 1
Drake Maye
NE vs SEA · QB
the number we published
1.4
locked 2026-09-10T00:01:07Z
actual
1.0
residual -0.4 · inside the printed interval
printed interval 0.0–3.0
35% chance he finishes over passing TDs
model history

Walk-forward reconstructions, not a published record.

wkoppactualmodel
25.12CIN1.01.5
25.13NYG2.01.5
25.15BUF0.01.4
25.16BAL2.01.3
25.17NYJ5.01.4
25.18MIA1.01.7
25.19LAC1.01.4
25.20HOU3.01.4
25.21DEN0.01.5
25.22SEA2.01.3

The number we published is the lock. It is never revised. Model history, when shown, is a walk-forward reconstruction — not a published record.

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