Saidmark
the record · 2026 week 1
Corey Kiner
NE vs SEA · RB
the number we published
4.4
locked 2026-09-10T00:01:07Z
actual
6.0
residual +1.6 · inside the printed interval
printed interval 1.0–8.0
45% chance he finishes over carries
model history

Walk-forward reconstructions, not a published record.

wkoppactualmodel
25.15HOU2.0
25.16ATL6.02.0
25.17CIN1.03.8
25.18LA3.02.6

The number we published is the lock. It is never revised. Model history, when shown, is a walk-forward reconstruction — not a published record.

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